2018 Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress Final Predictions

This is the main category without a clear frontrunner.  Regina King had that position, but she missed out on SAG and BAFTA.  It is unsure who else could win besides her, but my money would be on a career win for Amy Adams.  If King gets snubbed for a nomination, Adams will finally get her Oscar.  Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone are a package deal for, they're secured a nomination but one can't win without the other.

That fifth slot is uncertain, with Margot Robbie currently predicted for her second nomination.  But Claire Foy is still in the mix and there is room for a surprise.

Top Predicted Five
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk	Amy Adams, Vice	Rachel Weisz, The Favourite	Emma Stone, The Favourite	Margot Robbie, Mary, Queen of Scots
Missing for SAG and BAFTA places her frontrunner status as being less of a sure thing.  She is still the main contender for her film, but Annapurna may end up campaigning more for Amy Adams.	Missed out a few precursors, but still had a presence in key ones.  Adams is due for a win and this might end up as a career award.  Her character is not the showiest, but the sentiment may prevail.	Can’t nominate one without the other.  These two previous winners have been nominated at the hip all season.  The Favourite is an actor’s movie and all three leads will earn nominations.  But don’t expect a second win for either, it is Colman’s show.  The dual nom is still a sure thing.		Surprised with a SAG nomination after missing previous precursors and just followed up with a BAFTA nom.  After her first nomination last year she may become an Oscar regular.  She will represent the film that is not up for other categories.
Runner-Ups
Claire Foy, First Man	Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased	Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians	Linda Cardellini, Green Book	Emily Blunt, A Quiet Place
Was a stronger contender earlier in the year, but missed SAG.  The entire film is being overlooked, she still may be the one to represent it. Could get in over Robbie.	Been recognized in a few places. Kidman has been nominated for playing mothers before.  The film looks to be mostly forgotten though.	Early on she had some buzz and was listed as the film’s stand out.  Definitely deserves a career nomination, but the precursors did not recognize her.	She has not been nominated anywhere yet, but if Green Book becomes the film to beat she could follow. Everyone mentioned her in their Globe acceptance speeches as being important to the film.  She’s been a hardworking actress for a long time and deserves awards attention.	Huge surprise nomination at SAG.  If voters go for A Quiet Place they might nominate her here over Mary Poppins.  But the SAG nomination seems to just mean that it is time for her to get Oscar attention.  If the actors nominated her there, she should finally get in for this or her leading role.
Long Shots
Elizabeth Debicki, Widows	Marina De Tavira, Roma	Blythe Danner, What They Had	Natalie Portman, Vox Lux	Danai Gurira, Black Panther
Big breakout of Widows and had a few critic award nominations.  The film has no momentum for Oscars unfortunately.	She was mentioned earlier in the race as a contender, but it doesn’t look like Roma will have any acting contenders.	Seemed like more of a possibility early in the fall.  The film did not take off and Danner will be left out again.	Pundits overpredicted this one, it ended up being a niche critic curiosity more than anything.	Memorable, iconic performance in the biggest movie of the year but no buzz about her.