Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor Predictions- 10/16

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Top Predicted Five
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time	Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes	Sterling K. Brown, Waves	Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day	Alan Alda, Marriage Story
Been nominated three times, this could be his Oscar win.  He gives an easy going movie star performance full of complexity and humor.  The role fits him really well, he seems like the one to beat at this point.	Has not been in the Oscar game for a while, but The Two Popes should get him back.  Expect him to be a lock.	Been on a roll lately with This is Us and several film appearances.  He is said to be the stand-out in the movie.  He is the easiest representative for the small film.  This category is open enough for his first nom.	Has missed every Oscar attempt since 2000.  But Fred Rogers holds a special place in people’s hearts and Tom Hanks holds a similar area.  If he brings Mr. Rogers back to people through his performance he should be a strong contender.  Still, Hanks couldn’t even get nominated for playing Walt Disney…	Marriage Story is currently the film beat and all of the actors are said to be great in it.  Alda has the good notices and seems most likely for the final nomination slot at this point.  But he could be overshadowed by the two leads and have vote splits with Ray Liotta.
Runner-Ups
Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy	Song Kang-ho, Parasite	Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit	Al Pacino, The Irishman	John Lithgow, Bombshell
Bound to get nominated again someday and has been said to be Oscar worthy in this role.  Film needs to do well in precursors, but he is in the conversation again.	Foreign language performances seem to do better in Actress categories than Actor ones.  But he is part of what makes Parasite an Oscar contender.  If the film really makes an impact he could get in here.	The adults are getting less praise than the child stars, but there is a courage in Waititi’s role.  It will definitely not sit well with everybody, but if the film works then he could be in the game as an actor as well as director.	Said to be good, he has not had a serious awards contender since his win in 1992.  But again, Netflix has other contenders to push.  And he is competing with Joe Pesci and Harvey Keitel.	Has been said to be great in the movie.  Lithgow is very well-liked and has not been up for an Oscar in a long time.  But the buzz currently seems to be about the women.  The film needs to do great for him to enter the race.
In Contention
Bokeem Woodbine, Queen and Slim	Leslie Odom Jr., Harriet	Matt Damon, Ford V Ferrari	Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse	Jim Carter, The Good Liar
Film is still unseen, but he is highlighted in the trailer.  Woodbine has been a good actor for a long time, this could help him gain awards attention.	Notable Tony award winner for Hamilton.  The buzz is around Erivo, but he Odom is in a good place for awards prestige if the film gains momentum.	Doesn’t feel as flashy as Bale, but they could be a package deal if the film is a major contender.  Bale could still overshadow him like he did Wahlberg in The Fighter.	There’s been a push to recognize Dafoe lately.  He was snubbed a win for The Florida Project and was a surprise nominee for At Eterenity’s Gate.  Film needs to break out from horror ghetto.	Looks to have a great role in the trailers.  With the big success of Downton Abbey, Carter could finally get some awards attention this year.  WB really needs to push this one though.