Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Best Supporting Actor Predictions (as of 11/13/12)

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Pros: Tommy Lee Jones has been cited as the highlight of the movie, playing against type.  Been the most popular name in this category among many pundits
Cons: Has to compete with David Straithairn, James Spader and many others in this large ensemble, not the most popular actor anymore (see Men in Black 3)
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Pros: One of the most reliable, Oscar friendly actors gives a big, powerful, controlling performance there is no way voters are ignoring him
Cons: Should be guaranteed a nomination on his reputation and strength of the performance, but the movie may not be popular enough for a second win
Alan Arkin, Argo
Pros: Brought levity to a very heavy movie.  He added laughs without going over the top and gave the role some weight.  Hollywood should find a lot of honesty in his performance as a slick producer
Cons: A small role and has a whole ensemble of talented actors to compete against, already won an Oscar while no one else in the cast has ever been nominated

Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Pros: Playing against type and having fun in a movie could finally win Leo his Oscar
Cons: Nobody has seen this movie and there is no guarantee that anything in it will get a nomination.  He could be a threat to win, but he is going up against more established and accomplished actors in movies that may be better than his
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Pros: Lack of competition could land this novice actor a nomination for the most challenging role of the year
Cons: This movie may not be what voters are looking for, he is completely unknown, may not have a strong campaign, the character is tough to like too

Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Pros: In one of the best movies of the years, many pundits think he could have a chance
Cons: De Niro is no longer seen as a dependable star, his role could be overshadowed by the main characters
Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Pros: A terrific role and great music, this could be a very powerful performance
Cons: He is not a singer like the rest of the cast, his vocals seemed shaky in the most recent trailer.  It has been a decade since Russell Crowe was an Oscar favorite
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
Pros: Magic Mike surprised a lot of audiences and critics, but it is one of the most popular movies of the year.  MCConaughey has been making a comeback and has had a very Oscar friendly career shift these last few years.  Already has a campaign going, sex appeal in the role
Cons: The subject and role of male stripper may not appeal to some voters, role in a summer blockbuster not an Oscar movie
Jude Law, Anna Karenina
Pros: Been overdue for another nomination for a while, his deglamorized performance in the trailer looks very promising, role of a ruler can do well with voters
Cons: He may be too far off the Academy's radar at this point, movie has not been well received, could be overshadowed by Keira Knightley
William H. Macy, The Sessions
Pros: A strong supporting performance from a dependable actor
Cons: Small movie, John Hawkes and Helen Hunt may receive all of the attention

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